Climate Transition and Operational Risk Modelling: Implications for Supply Chains and Financial Decision-Making

Éditeurs invités

  • Andrea Flori, Politecnico di Milano
  • Anna Maria Gambaro, Università del Piemonte Orientale
  • Ioannis Kyriakou, University of London
  • Duc Khuong Nguyen, EMLV Business School

Synthèse

Climate-related operational risks pose significant threats to financial and economic systems, particularly as economies transition toward low-carbon models. The timing and pace of this transition create substantial uncertainties, especially for carbon-intensive firms that must balance profitability with decarbonization goals. Vulnerabilities extend through interconnected global supply chains where disruptions propagate indirectly, amplifying operational and systemic risks across multiple tiers.

Financial markets increasingly transmit climate-related risks through asset prices, volatility, and liquidity shocks, potentially triggering market instability through supply chain relationships. This special issue addresses the gap in understanding how climate and environmental risks propagate through financial and economic systems, seeking contributions that employ robust stochastic optimization, machine learning, and advanced forecasting methods to inform portfolio allocation and risk management decisions in the face of evolving climate regulations and transition uncertainties.

Thèmes proposés

  • Robust stochastic optimization methods for climate transition risks
  • Portfolio optimization and risk-adjusted return modelling under climate policy uncertainty
  • Credit and counterparty risk assessment under low-carbon transition scenarios
  • Risk-sharing mechanisms and insurance models for climate-related disruptions
  • Supply chain risk management in climate transition
  • Operational decision-making in emission trading schemes and carbon pricing
  • Predictive modelling of carbon stranding risk via supervised learning
  • Machine learning and big data analytics for climate risk scenario classification
  • Natural language processing applications in climate policy risk analysis
  • Bayesian network approaches to modelling climate transition risk propagation
  • Agent-based models of climate transition dynamics and systemic effects